What’s up with the home field?
Nine out of 16 correct, which is not statistically better than a chimpanzee throwing darts. The biggest surprises were the Colts, Texans, and Jets. And nine of the visiting team exceeded expectations. Only five of them managed to outscore the opponent but a moral win is a moral win.
I’ll have something to say about week 2 before anyone takes the field, which will include the updated logit ratings and ranks for everyone. The Vikings may be number one.
HTML and I still aren’t on the same page with table formatting.
Visitor Home Probability V H Correct Exceed
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – Of V Win Points Pick Expected
Green Bay Seattle 0.41 16 36 1 Seattle
New Orleans Atlanta 0.60 34 37 0 Atlanta
Minnesota St. Louis 0.76 34 6 1 Minnesota
Cleveland Pittsburgh 0.78 27 30 0 Pittsburgh
Jacksonville Philadelphia 0.48 17 34 1 Philadelp
Oakland NY Jets 0.80 14 19 0 NY Jets
Cincinnati Baltimore 0.36 23 16 0 Cincinnati
Buffalo Chicago 0.33 23 20 0 Buffalo
Washington Houston 0.67 6 17 0 Houston
Tennessee Kansas City 0.54 26 10 1 Tennessee
New England Miami 0.54 20 33 0 Miami
Carolina Tampa Bay 0.52 20 14 1 Carolina
San Francisco Dallas 0.59 28 17 1 San Fran
Indianapolis Denver 0.10 24 31 1 Indianap
NY Giants Detroit 0.26 14 35 1 NY Giants
San Diego Arizona 0.34 17 18 1 San Diego