Week 1 Postview

What’s up with the home field?

Nine out of 16 correct, which is not statistically better than a chimpanzee throwing darts. The biggest surprises were the Colts, Texans, and Jets. And nine of the visiting team exceeded expectations. Only five of them managed to outscore the opponent but a moral win is a moral win.

I’ll have something to say about week 2 before anyone takes the field, which will include the updated logit ratings and ranks for everyone. The Vikings may be number one.

HTML and I still aren’t on the same page with table formatting.

Visitor                 Home           Probability        V   H Correct   Exceed

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – Of V Win         Points   Pick   Expected

Green Bay         Seattle               0.41             16  36      1      Seattle

New Orleans    Atlanta             0.60              34  37      0      Atlanta

Minnesota        St. Louis             0.76              34  6        1      Minnesota

Cleveland          Pittsburgh        0.78              27  30      0     Pittsburgh

Jacksonville       Philadelphia   0.48            17  34      1     Philadelp

Oakland              NY Jets            0.80               14  19      0     NY Jets

Cincinnati           Baltimore      0.36               23  16      0     Cincinnati

Buffalo                Chicago            0.33               23  20      0     Buffalo

Washington      Houston          0.67                 6  17      0     Houston

Tennessee        Kansas City    0.54                26  10      1    Tennessee

New England    Miami              0.54                20  33      0     Miami

Carolina            Tampa Bay      0.52                 20  14      1    Carolina

San Francisco   Dallas              0.59                 28  17      1    San Fran

Indianapolis      Denver            0.10                 24  31      1    Indianap

NY Giants         Detroit              0.26                 14  35      1    NY Giants

San Diego         Arizona             0.34                 17  18      1    San Diego

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s