Week 3 Preview

Here is picture of the  Week 2 train wreck

Week Three

The Vikings, on the basis of their week two performance, got their logit cut in half but still rank third, behind the Broncos and Cardinals and ahead of the Seahawks.  Perhaps Rasch should stick to remedial reading tests and leave professional athletes along. I will forego the obvious sarcasm. For the second week, the Vikings have the honor of playing an underperforming team who have an elite quarterback and who lost last week. The Vikings definitely will not win by three touchdowns; in fact, no one will, statistically speaking. The Cardinals against the Forty-niners is the most likely.

The Broncos (#1) at the Seahawks (#4) will be the hot ticket. The Packers at the Lions may be the game to see. They are ranked 9 and 10 and the game is a mathematical toss-up to two decimal places. Actually the Packers have a logit of 0.183 to the Lions’ 0.181, which gives the Packers a probability of 0.501. Don’t bet the farm. As a point of emphasis, nothing you see or hear here should be used for anything  resembling gambling.

Visitor Home Probability of Visitor Win V Rank H Rank Logit Visitor Logit Home
Tampa Bay Atlanta 0.48 28 24 -0.47 -0.39
SUN, SEP 21
San Diego Buffalo 0.68 11 32 0.18 -0.56
Dallas St. Louis 0.48 27 26 -0.47 -0.40
Washington Philadelphia 0.56 7 13 0.38 0.15
Houston NY Giants 0.56 12 16 0.16 -0.07
Minnesota New Orleans 0.69 3 18 0.63 -0.16
Tennessee Cincinnati 0.29 23 6 -0.33 0.54
Baltimore Cleveland 0.69 5 19 0.61 -0.19
Green Bay Detroit 0.50 9 10 0.18 0.18
Indianapolis Jacksonville 0.57 20 29 -0.22 -0.49
Oakland New England 0.42 15 8 0.00 0.31
San Francisco Arizona 0.25 22 2 -0.27 0.86
Denver Seattle 0.57 1 4 0.90 0.62
Kansas City Miami 0.53 21 25 -0.26 -0.39
Pittsburgh Carolina 0.33 31 14 -0.55 0.14
MON, SEP 22
Chicago NY Jets 0.41 30 17 -0.49 -0.13
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